Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.015790 0.018386 0.021255 0.024657 0.028578 0.032955 0.038206
2025-12-14 0.011281 0.014458 0.018297 0.023265 0.029516 0.037108 0.047021
2025-12-21 0.008684 0.012095 0.016546 0.022758 0.031178 0.042166 0.057566
2025-12-28 0.007398 0.011079 0.016217 0.023868 0.034926 0.050270 0.073114
2026-01-04 0.006284 0.010047 0.015623 0.024425 0.037889 0.057614 0.088583
2026-01-11 0.005137 0.008724 0.014345 0.023702 0.038782 0.061992 0.100230
2026-01-18 0.004344 0.007800 0.013495 0.023448 0.040264 0.067325 0.113887
2026-01-25 0.003647 0.006899 0.012520 0.022800 0.040950 0.071392 0.125914
2026-02-01 0.003114 0.006186 0.011738 0.022333 0.041819 0.075781 0.138905
2026-02-08 0.002704 0.005627 0.011135 0.022072 0.042971 0.080719 0.153341
2026-02-15 0.002323 0.005055 0.010415 0.021473 0.043391 0.084350 0.165776
2026-02-22 0.002157 0.004886 0.010443 0.022309 0.046618 0.093459 0.189360
2026-03-01 0.001915 0.004527 0.010048 0.022271 0.048176 0.099693 0.208406
2026-03-08 0.001644 0.004053 0.009347 0.021494 0.048128 0.102785 0.221643
2026-03-15 0.001455 0.003736 0.008933 0.021269 0.049202 0.108249 0.240332
2026-03-22 0.001388 0.003697 0.009134 0.022440 0.053455 0.120782 0.275246
2026-03-29 0.001288 0.003560 0.009087 0.023033 0.056486 0.131038 0.306414
2026-04-05 0.001128 0.003239 0.008551 0.022384 0.056564 0.134829 0.323733
2026-04-12 0.001011 0.003011 0.008209 0.022160 0.057613 0.140903 0.346878
2026-04-19 0.000891 0.002751 0.007745 0.021555 0.057647 0.144626 0.364969
2026-04-26 0.000793 0.002536 0.007366 0.021116 0.058036 0.149218 0.385619
2026-05-03 0.000714 0.002364 0.007076 0.020871 0.058884 0.155000 0.409776
2026-05-10 0.000633 0.002169 0.006691 0.020305 0.058807 0.158474 0.428566